U.S. business activity declines - Ester Holdings
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U.S. business activity declines

  • Volume of industrial orders (m/m) (Aug), fact -0.1%, forecast -0.2%.
  • ISM non-manufacturing sector employment index (September), fact 50.4, previous value 53.1.
  • ISM non-Manufacturing PMI (ISI)  (Sept), fact 52.6, forecast 55.0.

Business activity in the non-manufacturing sector (PMI) from ISM in the USA has decreased to its minimum values ​​since September 2016. This once again confirmed the market’s fears of a slowdown in the US economy and increased pressure on the American dollar.

Fig. 1. Non-Manufacturing PMI Index from ISM in the USA

Due to the aggravated risks of a slowdown in the US GDP, the US dollar index rushed down against a basket of competitors. In doing so, he also increased the likelihood of US Federal Reserve cuts and increased pessimism in the market as a whole.

The US dollar index updated the low at 98.70, confirming a downward trend, which will be limited by support levels: 98.60 and 98.50.

Fig. 2. The US dollar index chart. Current price – 98.70 (10-year US government bonds yield – blue line)

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Hanzenko Anton


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